Monday, August 13, 2012

Pseudoscience and Pseudoskepticism


Yet an episode of Through the Wormhole, this time about the sixth sense and some similar parapsychological concepts. Some quite spectacular claims were made in the episode, so I had to check out the sources. Not that solid.

It seems the TV show preferred sensation to sincerity. That's what usually happens when parapsychology is treated by the media. Well, that's how the media treats just about everything.

But parapsychology tends to upset more than natural science ever does. It upsets lots of scientists, who regard it as utter nonsense, and that upsets a lot of people who put their trust in it. The battle has been going on since the 19th century, at least.

One problem with parapsychology is that it's been professed by so many cheats, calling themselves psychics and making a living out of it – or just using it to put some sparkle in their lives.

But that's possible because the established scientific community, as well as organized society as a whole, doesn't want to have anything to do with it. So, it's virgin territory for scoundrels and the superstitious. If parapsychological claims were elaborately examined by the scientific community and debated in a scrutinizing way by the media and society as a whole, it would clear up quickly.

I'm not saying that it would necessarily lead to all claims of parapsychology being refuted. That remains to be seen. Anyone insisting that nothing of it can be true is just as unscientific as they claim parapsychology to be. History has repeatedly shown us that unbelievable stuff turns out to be real. We simply don't know until we know.

In the 1970's, probably as a reaction to the growth of New Age movements, skeptic societies started to be formed with the explicit intent of disproving paranormal claims of any kind.

The first one was the Committee for the Scientific Investigation of Claims of the Paranormal (CSICOP), founded 1976 in the USA. Carl Sagan and several other famous scientists joined it.

Already in 1980 they had a scandal, when trying to disprove an astrological claim (the so-called Mars-effect) and cheating when doing so. One of the founding members, astronomer Dennis Rawlins, reacted and left the organization.

They later changed their name to the Committee for Skeptical Inquiry (CSI). It's an organization with a mission. They don't want to check if paranormal claims can be true. They want to prove them false. That's not a scientific attitude.

They (and similar organizations) even insist on additional demands on the verification of paranormal claims. Carl Sagan said: "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence."

What's that? Extraordinary evidence. Either there's evidence or there isn't. Otherwise it would be like demanding a part to be more than 100% of the whole. What they mean, without admitting it, is that they just don't want to change their paradigm, their idea of how nature works.

That's the problem with parapsychology. If it is real, something is very wrong with how the natural sciences describe reality. The consequences to established scientific definitions would be enormous. Precognition, telepathy, clairvoyance, psychokinesis – that's not possible within the realm of present physics.

So, why would a physicist want to examine such things, running the risk of having to throw his own knowledge into the fire?

There's another problem with examining the paranormal, linked to that of its threat to the present understanding of physics. Since it presupposes that our laws of physics are incomplete or even faulty, how to be sure of an isolated, reliable testing method? We may be able to design a test that hints at something paranormal happening, but it's much more difficult to decide what paranormality that is.

Most people claiming to have paranormal abilities also state very firmly that they don't have complete conscious control of these abilities. They are dependent on vague circumstances, such as mental calmness, a positive atmosphere, an object of heightened significance of some sort, et cetera.

Since we deal with the psyche, that can come as no surprise – but it fits poorly with the trial and error of natural science, which demands the repetition of identical experiments with identical outcomes. The psyche is not that clinically consistent.

For example, when testing clairvoyance or telepathy with cards marked with different simple symbols, again and again to exclude statistical coincidence – that's boring. What mind works well when bored?

Natural science deals with the palpable world (mostly), whereas parapsychology by definition is something of the psyche, which is rarely palpable and its workings are often seemingly irrational, impulsive, and constantly changing.

To a great extent, psychology meets with the same problem. Statistics may show the likelihood of some or other human behavior, but the individual is still quite unpredictable. There are so many exceptions to any psychological rule, natural scientists sneer at it.

The only reason psychology is sort of accepted as a science is probably because it adheres faithfully to the paradigm of present natural science. Psychology makes sure not to be a threat or a challenge to natural science, so it's allowed in the temples of learning, albeit in the foyers.

How many theories in psychology would really pass Carl Sagan's demand for extraordinary evidence? Coming to think of it, how many theories of natural science would?

These last few years, I've noticed the term pseudoscience used for the whole bunch of ideas that do challenge or oppose the natural science paradigm – parapsychology, astrology, and so on. That's a strange term. Pseudo means lying or false (intentionally false). So, false science. That's stating that it can't be true, also that its proponents really know this. Quite an insult – and quite unscientific, of course.

According to Wikipedia, where the term is used a lot, pseudoscience is a word dating back to at least the late 18th century. But my impression is that it's been pretty much asleep, waking up the last decade or so. I suspect the use has been encouraged by the skeptic organizations, but I don't plan to spend time investigating it.

I checked Google Trends, but that starts at 2004. Pseudoscience as a search word has had about the same popularity all through that short period. But when trying the Swedish synonym, pseudovetenskap, Google Trends showed that its use started in 2009. Before that, nothing.

I compared with the word parapsychology and found that since 2004, its use on search engines has decreased tremendously – also the Swedish equivalent. Since the last year or so, pseudoscience is searched more than parapsychology. The derogatory term replaces the name of the discipline.

On the other hand, the word metaphysics remains much more popular than both of the aforementioned (probably mostly thanks to Aristotle), and the word paranormal practically hits the ceiling – increasing tremendously from the fall of 2009.

That's all worth studying, but I move on.

Pseudoscience is a ridiculous term, but it has its counterpart: pseudoskepticism, which was introduced in 1987 by sociologist Marcello Truzzi, who was actually one of the founding members of CSICOP. He used it for skeptics who were just out to deny paranormal claims, whatever science they had or lacked to support it.

That term makes more sense than pseudoscience, since it points out individuals instead of complete fields of research. Still, it's not likely to move the investigation forward. And according to Google Trends, it hasn't caught on.

A serious investigation of the paranormal is still distant.

10 comments:

  1. Our minds must be linked in some way,
    because I could not agree more... ;)

    One thing that has been bugged me for some
    time is the random number generators that have been running all over the world,
    with the intention of measuring a global consciousness. (GCP)

    How is one to determine what a global consciousness are?


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    1. I checked it out quickly when writing this blog post. Its results are seriously questioned. The research is funded or supported by the Noetic Institute, which is something questionable, as well.

      Jung had the idea of the collective unconscious, but he regarded it as mainly a cultural thing (hard to state something definite, since he was rather blurry at times).

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  2. & at the moment when there are no frills left, no evidence for or against all that remains is attitudes. With carefully structured questions any nuance can be proved either true or false... & besides "true wisdom is quiet wisdom for it has nothing to prove" (tho' recently I've found a philosophical nuance in that phrase worth considering but then that might simply be an aberration of translation)

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    1. Truth needs no allies. It's us searching it that have the needs.

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    2. @ the body level we have body needs (exsistance), @ the mind level we have mind (philosophical) needs & @ the spirit/soul level we have sprit/soul (energy/life force) needs.

      If we only bring our bodies to our experiences our minds & souls will remain unsatisfied & our body will keep searching because all that bodies sense is that @ a biological level there is a "lack", an unsatisfaction.

      For example: a body could experience euphoria when eating a peach grown & picked from your own tree - it is delicate, sweet, juicy & different to shop bought. The mind could experience joy - a deeper sense of I nurtured this tree & contributed to the growth of this fruit. However, the spirit/soul could experience ecstacy (as in ecstasis - out of body/self) with a deeper connection to the shared life-force in both tree & person.

      Although if we only bring our bodies all we will experience is a pleasant, sweet & tasty peach. Depends on personal attitude. Each experience is truth @ that level. Of course if personal attitude is "I" have rights & expect to consume this fruit, then 10 000 peaches would probably leave a feeling of un-satisfied... all depends on the level of experience/search/investigation.

      J

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    3. I can't see that what I said would contradict what you say.

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  3. Great post. Most scientists are materialists. Anything that smacks of the transcendent and the existence of soul, kind of attacks Science that is supposed to be all about Matter.

    Only Matter exists. The Soul does not. When Cultural Marxism is everywhere, where materialism is the ascendent and scientific, anything spiritual, or psychical is threatening. Basically, the Soul does not exist for most people. We are just bodies. Evolution from dead matter is science but the transcendent--those are for looney toon religious people.

    That is where your argument lies. The hatred of a material world for the spiritual realm. Believe in parapsychology, and next you have Satan, angels----and----(gasp)---God. Can't have that can we.

    We live in a strange world that all doesn't answer to "science". Not everything can fit into it.

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    1. Science is culture dependent and works according to contemporary ideals and concepts. Scientists are human, so if they think they can think "out of the box" they are probably folling themselves.

      Mostly they do like the rest of us: try to make a living, and dream of being praised.

      Fortunately, there are exceptions to the rule. Usually, they can be recognized by initially being dismissed by the scientific community. But that's true also for the loonies.

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  4. "Nature is not only queerer than we suppose,
    it is queerer than we can suppose. "

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